Parag Khanna: How Coronavirus Could Make People Move - 15th May

The coronavirus is upending our jobs, canceling our pastimes and messing with our social lives. Some of these effects might linger for months, even years, becoming the new normal. But the pandemic isn’t simply likely to change how we live—it … Continued

Parag Khanna: China’s Revival Is Good News for the Region - 1st May

Parag Khanna, managing partner at FutureMap and author of “The Future is Asian,” discusses the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on Asia and what we can expect to see as economies reopen. He speaks with Bloomberg’s David Westin on “Bloomberg: … Continued

The Honorable Kevin M. Rudd: China’s economic recovery is tied to how others fare in global recession, Australia’s ex-prime minister says - 18th Apr

China’s economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic will partly depend on how other countries fare in the global recession and the impact on the demand for Chinese goods, former Australia Prime Minister Kevin Rudd said on Friday. The synchronous nature … Continued

The Honorable Kevin M. Rudd: IMF Predicts worst economic downturn since Great Depression - 16th Apr

2020 will be the worst year since the Great Depression with COVID-19 set to wipe an extraordinary $14 trillion off the global economy. The International Monetary Fund says the Great Coronavirus Lockdown will see economies shrink dramatically in more than … Continued

Paul Haenle: Amid Coronavirus Pandemic. China Seeks Larger Role on World Stage - 16th Apr

China’s drastic measures helped contain the coronavirus outbreak, which continues to spread rapidly across the United States. Beijing has seized the moment to expand its global leadership and advertise its governance model.

Parag Khanna – After coronavirus: Six predictions for a new world order - 15th Apr

In chaos theory, the butterfly effect describes a small change that can have massive, unpredictable consequences. An insect flaps its wings and, weeks later, causes a tornado. The coronavirus is more like an earthquake, with aftershocks that will permanently reshape … Continued

Yukon Huang: China’s Economic Growth Now Depends on the West - 27th Mar

China’s leadership expected that economic growth in 2020 would be a celebratory event, marking a doubling of the economy’s size over the past decade. The new coronavirus, however, has obliterated those forecasts. Beijing’s draconian measures brought the epidemic under control … Continued

Yukon Huang: Who can break the US-China Impasse? - 13th Dec

SAGE Speaker Yukon Huang talks about US-China trade truce after the recent G20 meeting. He mentions that “the US-China impasse comes from much deeper differences in perceptions”.

Paul Haenle: Tempering Expectations Ahead of the G20 - 4th Dec

Earlier this month, President Donald Trump tweeted that he had a “long and very good conversation” with President Xi Jinping over the phone. However Trump’s positive rhetoric contrasts sharply with the current reality of the U.S.-China relationship. In the midst of increasingly competitive and near-confrontational relations, it is important to remain clear-eyed about the difficulties that the U.S. and China face going forward.

How To Avoid World War III in Asia - 6th Jul

World War II still hasn’t ended, yet World War III already looms. The recent discovery of large oil and gas reserves under the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands islands has heated up the situation dramatically, with military budgets surging, and warships, coast guards and fighter jets scrambling to assert control over the commons. Meanwhile, tensions on the Korean Peninsula have drastically escalated into the world’s most dangerous flashpoint over the past seven decades precisely because the Korean War itself was never formally ended in 1953. A multipolar world can be an unstable landscape of security dilemmas and proxy competitions à la Europe before World War I, or it can be a stable balance of power in which sufficient distance among poles and respect for their spheres of influence generates a dynamic equilibrium. If we want this kind of lasting global stability, we must permit technocrats to make the peace first.

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